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China reopening has a positive but gradual impact on consumption

01/17/2023

China’s reopening process has come faster and earlier than expected. After announcing a gradual easing of its zero-Covid policy in November, the National Health Commission finally decided to downgrade the Covid-19 risk level in late December.

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RECESSION, INFLATION, UKRAINE, CHINA, MONETARY POLICY... 2023 AS SEEN BY JEAN-CHRISTOPHE CAFFET, COFACE CHIEF ECONOMIST

01/16/2023

Wansquare asked a panel of economists and business leaders for their forecasts for 2023. Here is what our chief economist Jean-Christophe Caffet had to say.

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COFACE PUBLISHES CEE TOP 500 COMPANIES: How do the biggest companies bounce back from the pandemic?

11/02/2022

• 2021 – a favourable environment for Central and Eastern Europe with 5.7% GDP growth after a recession of -3.7% in the first year of pandemic
• Top 500 players: increase in turnover, net profits and employment, due to the recovery from the slump of activity
• Sectors: the reliable backbone oil and gas comes in first in the top 500 followed by automotive & transport and non-specialized trade
• Poland is home to the largest businesses in the region with an increasing aggregated turnover by 26% in 2021 compared to previously

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Coface 2022 political and social fragility indicator

10/25/2022

While the sources of economic uncertainty are legion, new political disturbances could be added to their ranks. For several years now, political risk has been a recurring theme in the news, taking various forms: rising populism, social unrest, conflicts, terrorism, and protectionism. The new geopolitical landscape opened up by Russia's actions could reawaken risks in other global hot spots. In addition, price pressures, particularly on basic goods, continue to fuel frustrations, building on those generated by the economic and health crisis triggered by the pandemic.
Coface is today sharing the results of the update of its social and political fragility index. This index has, admittedly, fallen from the record level reached last year, but still suggests a high risk environment. And while the focus naturally shifts to the risks of unrest in emerging countries, the advanced economies are not expected to be spared from this upsurge in social tensions.

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“A COLD CHILL ON THE GLOBAL ECONOMY” Q3 2022 BAROMETER

10/18/2022

Beyond the repercussions of the war in Ukraine, the global monetary tightening and the multiple constraints on Chinese growth paint a gloomy outlook. In the short term, the economy seems to be settling into a regime of "stagflation", where almost no growth and rapidly rising prices coexist. The possibility of a global recession, meanwhile, is becoming clearer.

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Events

Country Risk Conference
03/17/2021

COUNTRY RISK CONFERENCE 2021

The Coface Country Risk Conference is a catalyst of ideas and debates within the national business community. In 2021 the event celebrates its XVIth edition.

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